Saturday, May 01, 2010

Ladbrokes - y diweddaraf

Seat Winner - Aberavon
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/500
+648


Liberal Democrats 20/1


Plaid Cymru 33/1


Conservatives 50/1


BNP 100/1


Andrew Tuton 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Captain Beany 200/1
Seat Winner - Aberconwy
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Conservatives 4/9
+648


Plaid Cymru 4/1


Liberal Democrats 6/1


Labour 10/1


UKIP 100/1


Christian Party 200/1
Seat Winner - Alyn & Deeside
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/3
+648


Conservatives 9/4


Liberal Democrats 25/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Arfon
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Plaid Cymru 1/10
+648


Labour 6/1


Conservatives 14/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Blaenau Gwent
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Dai Davies 8/11
+648


Labour evens


Conservatives 100/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Socialist Labour Party 100/1
Seat Winner - Brecon & Radnorshire
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Liberal Democrats 1/5
+648


Conservatives 3/1


Labour 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Christian Party 200/1


Loony 500/1
Seat Winner - Bridgend
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 2/5
+648


Conservatives 3/1


Liberal Democrats 5/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Caerphilly
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/50
+648


Plaid Cymru 10/1


Conservatives 50/1


Liberal Democrats 50/1


UKIP 100/1


BNP 100/1
Seat Winner - Cardiff West
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/3
+648


Conservatives 2/1


Liberal Democrats 25/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Cardiff Central
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Liberal Democrats 1/100
+648


Labour 10/1


Conservatives 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Green 100/1


TUSC 100/1


John Mathias 100/1


Loony 500/1
Seat Winner - Cardiff North
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Conservatives 2/11
+648


Labour 7/2


Liberal Democrats 16/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Christian Party 200/1
Seat Winner - Cardiff Sth & Penarth
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 4/11
+648


Conservatives 11/4


Liberal Democrats 5/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


George Burke 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Christian Party 200/1


Communist Party 200/1
Seat Winner - |Carmarthen Est & Dinefw
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Plaid Cymru 1/100
+648


Labour 16/1


Conservatives 66/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


UKIP 100/1
SW-Carmarthen Wst & Sth Pembrokshire
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Conservatives 1/5
+648


Labour 10/3


Liberal Democrats 50/1


Plaid Cymru 25/1


UKIP 100/1


Henry Langen 100/1
Seat Winner - Ceredigion
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Liberal Democrats 4/9
+648


Plaid Cymru 13/8


Conservatives 50/1


Labour 100/1


Green 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Clwyd South
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/2
+648


Conservatives 6/4


Liberal Democrats 50/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


UKIP 100/1


BNP 100/1
Seat Winner - Clwyd West
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Conservatives 1/16
+648


Labour 5/1


Plaid Cymru 50/1


Liberal Democrats 50/1


UKIP 100/1


Joe Blakesley 100/1


Christian Party 200/1
Seat Winner - Cynon Valley
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/100
+648


Plaid Cymru 12/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


Conservatives 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Delyn
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/2
+648


Conservatives 6/4


Liberal Democrats 20/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


UKIP 100/1


BNP 100/1
Seat Winner - Dwfor Meirionnydd
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Plaid Cymru 1/100
+648


Labour 25/1


Liberal Democrats 33/1


Conservatives 50/1


UKIP 100/1


Louise Hughes 100/1
Seat Winner - Gower
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 4/7
+648


Conservatives 11/8


Liberal Democrats 10/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Adrian Jones 100/1
Seat Winner - Islwyn
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/200
+648


Plaid Cymru 16/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


Conservatives 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1


David Rees 100/1


Paul Taylor 100/1
Seat Winner - Llanelli
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/2
+648


Plaid Cymru 6/4


Conservatives 50/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Merthr Tydfil
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/100
+648


Liberal Democrats 12/1


Conservatives 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Socialist Labour Party 100/1


Clive Tovey 100/1
Seat Winner - Monmouth
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Conservatives 1/100
+648


Labour 16/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Montgomeryshire
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Liberal Democrats 1/25
+648


Conservatives 8/1


Labour 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Bruce Lawson 100/1


NF 200/1
Seat Winner - Neath
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/10
+648


Plaid Cymru 5/1


Liberal Democrats 50/1


Conservatives 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Newport East
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/2
+648


Liberal Democrats 2/1


Conservatives 8/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Newport West
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 8/11
+648


Conservatives 11/10


Liberal Democrats 20/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Ogmore
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/500
+648


Liberal Democrats 33/1


Conservatives 33/1


Plaid Cymru 33/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Pontypridd
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/200
+648


Liberal Democrats 14/1


Conservatives 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Socialist Labour Party 100/1


Christian Party 100/1
Seat Winner - Preseli Pembrokeshire
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Conservatives 1/16
+648


Labour 6/1


Plaid Cymru 50/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


UKIP 100/1
Seat Winner - Rhondda
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/100
+648


Plaid Cymru 14/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


Conservatives 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Philip Howe 100/1
Seat Winner - Swansea East
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/100
+648


Liberal Democrats 10/1


Conservatives 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Clive Bennett 100/1
Seat Winner - Swansea West
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Liberal Democrats 4/6
+648


Labour 11/10


Conservatives 14/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


Green 100/1


BNP 100/1


TUSC 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Ian McCloy 100/1
Seat Winner - Torfaen
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 1/100
+648


Liberal Democrats 20/1


Conservatives 33/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Green 100/1


Fred Wildgust 100/1


BNP 100/1


Richard Turner-Thomas 100/1
Seat Winner - Vale of Glamorgan
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Conservatives 1/16
+648


Labour 6/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Green 100/1


Christian Party 200/1
Seat WInner - Vale of Clwyd
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Conservatives 8/13
+648


Labour 6/5


Liberal Democrats 100/1


Plaid Cymru 100/1


BNP 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Alliance for Green Socialism 100/1
Seat Winner - Wrexham
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Labour 4/7
+648


Liberal Democrats 7/4


Conservatives 8/1


Plaid Cymru 50/1


UKIP 100/1


BNP 100/1
Seat Winner - Ynys Mon
Time Event Selection Odds More
06 May. 17:00
Next General Election Constituency Betting Plaid Cymru 1/4
+648


Labour 11/4


Peter Rogers 16/1


Conservatives 25/1


Liberal Democrats 100/1


UKIP 100/1


Christian Party 200/1
Dyma'r diweddaraf o Ladbrokes. Yr hyn sy'n ddiddorol efallai ydi cymharu ffigyrau'r bwci efo'r rhai cyntaf i mi eu pastio a'u copio yn ol ym Mis Chwefror. Fel y byddai dyn yn disgwyl mae prisiau wedi tueddu i dynhau ar y Lib Dems, ond symud y ffordd arall efo'r pleidiau eraill yn y lleoedd hynny lle mae gobaith gan y Lib Dems.

Er enghraifft ym Mis Chwefror gallech gael 25/1 ar y Lib Dems yn Aberconwy - erbyn heddiw mae'n 6/1 - tu ol i'r Toriaid a Phlaid Cymru o hyd, ond mae'n symudiad sylweddol. Mae'r farchnad yn barnu bod buddugoliaeth i Lafur (o 8/1 i 10/1), Plaid Cymru (o 3/1 i 4/1) a'r Toriaid (o 1/3 i 4/9) yn llai tebygol nag oedd ym Mis Chwefror - ond mae'r symudiadau yn llawer llai o lawer na'r un at y Lib Dems.

Mae'r symudiad tuag at y Lib Dems yn llawer, llawer llai yng Ngheredigion - o 5/6 ym mis Chwefror i 4/9 heddiw - ac mae'r symudiad oddi wrth y Blaid hefyd yn gymharol fach (o 5/6 i 13/8). Mae'r farchnad felly'n barnu bod cryn ansicrwydd yn yr etholaeth honno.

Mewn llefydd lle nad ydi'r Lib Dems yn gryf, cymharol ychydig ydi'r newidiadau wedi bod. Roedd y farchnad o'r farn bod Llanelli yn dyn ym mis Chwefror (1/2 i Lafur, 6/4 i'r Blaid) a 'dydi'r prisiau heb symud modfedd ers hynny.

Mae'r ddwy sedd sydd yn nwylo'r Blaid yn cael eu ystyried yn gwbl ddiogel o hyd (1/100 yn y ddau achos) ac mae'r Blaid yn parhau yn ffefrynau clir yn Arfon (1/10) a lled glir yn Ynys Mon (1/4).

Yn ol y farchnad mae'r Lib Dems bellach ar y blaen yng Ngorllewin Abertawe ac yn agos iawn yn Nwyrain Casnewydd. Mae nhw hefyd yn glir ar y blaen yn Nhrefaldwyn a Brycheiniog a Maesyfed - roedd pethau'n agos ym Mis Chwefror.

Os ydi'r prisiau'n gywir bydd Llafur hefyd yn colli Gogledd Caerdydd, Gorllewin Caerfyrddin / De Penfro, Bro Morgannwg a Dyffryn Clwyd. Byddant hefyd yn agos neu'n agos iawn i golli Alyn a Glannau Dyfrdwy, Pen y Bont, De Clwyd, Delyn, Gwyr, Gorllewin Casnewydd a Wrecsam. Mae'n bosibl y bydd cryn dipyn o waed ar y carped erbyn bore dydd Gwener.

Un nodyn bach arall - mae prisiau'r Blaid yn 100/1 o hyd yng Ngorllewin Caerdydd - yn union fel etholaethau eraill Caerdydd. 'Rwan mae'n dalcen caled i'r Blaid ennill yma mewn etholiad cyffredinol (ond mae etholiad Cynulliad yn fater tra gwahanol). Ond mae'n rhaid bod gobeithion y Blaid yma'n uwch nag yw yn etholaethau eraill Caerdydd (sydd hefyd yn 100/1) - yma mae eu saith cynghorydd ar gyngor y ddinas - cawsant fwy o bleidleisiau na nab arall yn yr etholaeth yn yr etholiadau lleol. Mae yna nifer fawr o bosteri i fyny yn rhannau gorllewinol yr etholaeth. Ydi hi'n bosibl go iawn mai'r un cyfle sydd gan y Blaid yma nag UKIP a'r Blaid Werdd?

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Byddwn yn meddwl y byddai yn werth bet yn Sir Drefaldwyn yn erbyn y Lembo.

Iwan said...

Ynglyn a'r hyn ti'n ddweud am Aberconwy (pris Lib Dem yn yn tynhau mwy na mae'r lleill yn llacio), dyna fyddai person yn ddisgwyl gan y bwcis beth bynnag. Fel mae unrhyw ddigwyddiad yn nesau, yn gyffredinol mae marchnad yn tynhau - y bwci yn sicrhau ei elw (ac yn rhoi llai o 'value' i'r pyntars) di'r rheswm dros hynny.

Anonymous said...

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