Friday, May 30, 2008

Pol You Gov - y goblygiadau posibl yng Nghymru

Wele safwe arbennig Martin Baxter

Os ydym yn teipio 47 ym mocs y Toriaid, 23 ym mocs Llafur ac 18 ym mocs y Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol (canlyniadau pol YouGov y Daily Telegraph heddiw) cawn y rhestr isod o seddi a fyddai'n newid dwylo.

'Dwi wedi duo'r seddi hynny sydd yng Nghymru. 'Dydi'r polau Prydeinig na gwefan Martin Baxter ddim yn cymryd pleidleiswyr y pleidiau cenedlaetholgar i ystyriaeth wrth gwrs, felly mae mwy o ansicrwydd yn perthyn i'r rhagolygon yng Nghymru a'r Alban.

Aberconwy CON gain from LAB : Betty Williams
Aberdeen South CON gain from LAB : Anne Begg
Alyn and Deeside CON gain from LAB : Mark Tami
Amber Valley CON gain from LAB : Judy Mallaber
Angus CON gain from NAT : Michael Weir
Arfon NAT gain from LAB : Unknown (changed seat)
Argyll and Bute CON gain from LIB : Alan Reid
Ashfield CON gain from LAB : Geoff Hoon
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock CON gain from LAB : Sandra Osborne
Ayrshire Central CON gain from LAB : Brian Donohoe
Ayrshire North and Arran CON gain from LAB : Katy Clark
Barrow and Furness CON gain from LAB : John Hutton
Basildon South and East Thurrock CON gain from LAB : Angela Smith
Bassetlaw CON gain from LAB : John Mann
Bath CON gain from LIB : Don Foster
Batley and Spen CON gain from LAB : Mike Wood
Battersea CON gain from LAB : Martin Linton
Bedford CON gain from LAB : Patrick Hall
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk CON gain from LIB : Michael Moore
Birmingham Edgbaston CON gain from LAB : Gisela Stuart
Birmingham Hall Green CON gain from LAB : Roger Godsiff
Birmingham Northfield CON gain from LAB : Richard Burden
Birmingham Selly Oak CON gain from LAB : Stephen McCabe
Bishop Auckland CON gain from LAB : Helen Goodman
Blackburn CON gain from LAB : Jack Straw
Blackpool North and Cleveleys CON gain from LAB : Joan Humble
Blackpool South CON gain from LAB : Gordon Marsden
Bolton North East CON gain from LAB : David Crausby
Bolton West CON gain from LAB : Ruth Kelly
Bradford East CON gain from LAB : Terry Rooney
Bradford South CON gain from LAB : Gerry Sutcliffe
Bradford West CON gain from LAB : Marsha Singh
Brecon and Radnorshire CON gain from LIB : Roger Williams
Brent North CON gain from LAB : Barry Gardiner
Brentford and Isleworth CON gain from LAB : Ann Keen
Bridgend CON gain from LAB : Madeleine Moon
Brigg and Goole CON gain from LAB : Ian Cawsey
Brighton Kemptown CON gain from LAB : Desmond Turner
Brighton Pavilion CON gain from LAB : David Lepper
Bristol East CON gain from LAB : Kerry McCarthy
Bristol North West CON gain from LAB : Doug Naysmith
Broxtowe CON gain from LAB : Nick Palmer
Burnley CON gain from LAB : Kitty Ussher
Burton CON gain from LAB : Janet Dean
Bury North CON gain from LAB : David Chaytor
Bury South CON gain from LAB : Ivan Lewis
Calder Valley CON gain from LAB : Christine McCafferty
Camborne and Redruth CON gain from LIB : Julia Goldsworthy
Cannock Chase CON gain from LAB : Tony Wright
Cardiff North CON gain from LAB : Julie Morgan
Cardiff South and Penarth CON gain from LAB : Alun Michael
Cardiff West CON gain from LAB : Kevin Brennan

Carlisle CON gain from LAB : Eric Martlew
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South CON gain from LAB : Nick Ainger
Carshalton and Wallington CON gain from LIB : Tom Brake
Ceredigion NAT gain from LIB : Mark Williams
Chatham and Aylesford CON gain from LAB : Jonathan Shaw
Cheadle CON gain from LIB : Patsy Calton
Cheltenham CON gain from LIB : Martin Horwood
Chester, City of CON gain from LAB : Christine Russell
Chippenham CON gain from LIB : Unknown (new seat)
Chorley CON gain from LAB : Lindsay Hoyle
Cleethorpes CON gain from LAB : Shona McIsaac
Clwyd South CON gain from LAB : Martyn Jones
Colchester CON gain from LIB : Bob Russell
Colne Valley CON gain from LAB : Kali Mountford
Copeland CON gain from LAB : Jamie Reed
Corby CON gain from LAB : Phil Hope
Cornwall North CON gain from LIB : Dan Rogerson
Cornwall South East CON gain from LIB : Colin Breed
Coventry North West CON gain from LAB : Geoffrey Robinson
Coventry South CON gain from LAB : Jim Cunningham
Crawley CON gain from LAB : Laura Moffatt
Crewe and Nantwich CON gain from LAB : Gwyneth Dunwoody
Croydon Central CON gain from LAB : Unknown (changed seat)
Dagenham and Rainham CON gain from LAB : Jon Cruddas
Darlington CON gain from LAB : Alan Milburn
Dartford CON gain from LAB : Howard Stoate
Delyn CON gain from LAB : David Hanson
Derby North CON gain from LAB : Bob Laxton
Derbyshire North East CON gain from LAB : Natascha Engel
Derbyshire South CON gain from LAB : Mark Todd
Devon North CON gain from LIB : Nick Harvey
Devon West and Torridge CON gain from LIB : Unknown (changed seat)
Dewsbury CON gain from LAB : Shahid Malik
Don Valley CON gain from LAB : Caroline Flint
Dorset Mid and Poole North CON gain from LIB : Annette Brooke
Dorset South CON gain from LAB : Jim Knight
Dover CON gain from LAB : Gwyn Prosser
Dudley North CON gain from LAB : Ian Austin
Dudley South CON gain from LAB : Ian Pearson
Dulwich and West Norwood CON gain from LAB : Tessa Jowell
Dumfries and Galloway CON gain from LAB : Russell Brown
Durham, City of LIB gain from LAB : Roberta Blackman-Woods
Ealing Central and Acton CON gain from LAB : Andrew Slaughter
Ealing North CON gain from LAB : Stephen Pound
East Lothian CON gain from LAB : Anne Picking
Eastleigh CON gain from LIB : Christopher Huhne
Edinburgh North and Leith CON gain from LAB : Mark Lazarowicz
Edinburgh South CON gain from LAB : Nigel Griffiths
Edinburgh South West CON gain from LAB : Alistair Darling
Ellesmere Port and Neston CON gain from LAB : Andrew Miller
Elmet and Rothwell CON gain from LAB : Colin Burgon
Eltham CON gain from LAB : Clive Efford
Erewash CON gain from LAB : Liz Blackman
Erith and Thamesmead CON gain from LAB : John Austin
Exeter CON gain from LAB : Ben Bradshaw
Feltham and Heston CON gain from LAB : Alan Keen
Gedling CON gain from LAB : Vernon Coaker
Gloucester CON gain from LAB : Parmjit Dhanda
Gower CON gain from LAB : Martin Caton
Great Grimsby CON gain from LAB : Austin Mitchell
Great Yarmouth CON gain from LAB : Tony Wright
Guildford CON gain from LIB : Unknown (changed seat)
Halesowen and Rowley Regis CON gain from LAB : Sylvia Heal
Halifax CON gain from LAB : Linda Riordan
Hammersmith CON gain from LAB : Unknown (changed seat)
Hampstead and Kilburn CON gain from LIB : Unknown (changed seat)
Harlow CON gain from LAB : Bill Rammell
Harrow East CON gain from LAB : Tony McNulty
Harrow West CON gain from LAB : Gareth Thomas
Hastings and Rye CON gain from LAB : Michael Foster
Hendon CON gain from LAB : Andrew Dismore
Hereford and South Herefordshire CON gain from LIB : Paul Keetch
Heywood and Middleton CON gain from LAB : Jim Dobbin
High Peak CON gain from LAB : Tom Levitt
Holborn and St Pancras CON gain from LAB : Frank Dobson
Hove CON gain from LAB : Celia Barlow
Huddersfield CON gain from LAB : Barry Sheerman
Hyndburn CON gain from LAB : Greg Pope
Ilford South CON gain from LAB : Mike Gapes
Ipswich CON gain from LAB : Chris Mole
Islington South and Finsbury LIB gain from LAB : Emily Thornberry
Keighley CON gain from LAB : Ann Cryer
Kingswood CON gain from LAB : Roger Berry
Lancashire West CON gain from LAB : Rosie Cooper
Lancaster and Fleetwood CON gain from LAB : Unknown (changed seat)
Leeds North East CON gain from LAB : Fabian Hamilton
Leeds North West CON gain from LAB : Unknown (changed seat)
Leicester South CON gain from LAB : Peter Soulsby
Leicester West CON gain from LAB : Patrica Hewitt
Leicestershire North West CON gain from LAB : David Taylor
Lewisham East CON gain from LAB : Bridget Prentice
Lewisham West and Penge CON gain from LAB : Jim Dowd
Leyton and Wanstead CON gain from LAB : Harry Cohen
Lincoln CON gain from LAB : Gillian Merron
Loughborough CON gain from LAB : Andy Reed
Luton North CON gain from LAB : Kelvin Hopkins
Luton South CON gain from LAB : Margaret Moran
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East CON gain from LAB : Ashok Kumar
Milton Keynes North CON gain from LAB : Unknown (changed seat)
Milton Keynes South CON gain from LAB : Phyllis Starkey
Moray CON gain from NAT : Angus Robertson
Morecambe and Lunesdale CON gain from LAB : Geraldine Smith
Morley and Outwood CON gain from LAB : Colin Challen
Newcastle-under-Lyme CON gain from LAB : Paul Farrelly
Newport East CON gain from LAB : Jessica Morden
Newport West CON gain from LAB : Paul Flynn

Newton Abbot CON gain from LIB : Richard Younger-Ross
Northampton North CON gain from LAB : Sally Keeble
Northampton South CON gain from LAB : Unknown (changed seat)
Norwich North CON gain from LAB : Ian Gibson
Norwich South CON gain from LAB : Charles Clarke
Nottingham East CON gain from LAB : John Heppell
Nottingham South CON gain from LAB : Alan Simpson
Nuneaton CON gain from LAB : Bill Olner
Ochil and South Perthshire CON gain from LAB : Gordon Banks
Oldham East and Saddleworth CON gain from LAB : Phil Woolas
Oldham West and Royton CON gain from LAB : Michael Meacher
Oxford East CON gain from LAB : Andrew Smith
Oxford West and Abingdon CON gain from LIB : Evan Harris
Pendle CON gain from LAB : Gordon Prentice
Penistone and Stocksbridge CON gain from LAB : Angela Smith
Perth and North Perthshire CON gain from NAT : Peter Wishart
Plymouth Moor View CON gain from LAB : Alison Seabeck
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport CON gain from LAB : Linda Gilroy
Poplar and Limehouse CON gain from LAB : Jim Fitzpatrick
Portsmouth North CON gain from LAB : Sarah McCarthy-Fry
Portsmouth South CON gain from LIB : Mike Hancock
Preston CON gain from LAB : Mark Hendrick
Pudsey CON gain from LAB : Paul Truswell
Reading West CON gain from LAB : Martin Salter
Redditch CON gain from LAB : Jacqui Smith
Renfrewshire East CON gain from LAB : Jim Murphy
Ribble South CON gain from LAB : David Borrow
Richmond Park CON gain from LIB : Susan Kramer
Romsey and Southampton North CON gain from LIB : Sandra Gidley
Rossendale and Darwen CON gain from LAB : Janet Anderson
Rother Valley CON gain from LAB : Kevin Barron
Scunthorpe CON gain from LAB : Elliot Morley
Sefton Central CON gain from LAB : Claire Curtis-Thomas
Sheffield Hallam CON gain from LIB : Nick Clegg
Sherwood CON gain from LAB : Paddy Tipping
Slough CON gain from LAB : Fiona Mactaggart
Solihull CON gain from LIB : Lorely Burt
Somerset North East CON gain from LAB : Dan Norris
Somerton and Frome CON gain from LIB : David Heath
Southampton Itchen CON gain from LAB : John Denham
Southampton Test CON gain from LAB : Alan Whitehead
Southport CON gain from LIB : John Pugh
St Austell and Newquay CON gain from LIB : Unknown (new seat)
Stafford CON gain from LAB : David Kidney
Stalybridge and Hyde CON gain from LAB : James Purnell
Stevenage CON gain from LAB : Barbara Follett
Stirling CON gain from LAB : Anne McGuire
Stockport CON gain from LAB : Ann Coffey
Stockton South CON gain from LAB : Dari Taylor
Stoke-on-Trent South CON gain from LAB : Robert Flello
Stourbridge CON gain from LAB : Lynda Waltho
Stretford and Urmston CON gain from LAB : Beverley Hughes
Stroud CON gain from LAB : David Drew
Sunderland Central CON gain from LAB : Bill Etherington
Sutton and Cheam CON gain from LIB : Paul Burstow
Swansea West CON gain from LAB : Alan Williams
Swindon North CON gain from LAB : Michael Wills
Swindon South CON gain from LAB : Anna Snelgrove
Tamworth CON gain from LAB : Brian Jenkins
Taunton Deane CON gain from LIB : Jeremy Browne
Telford CON gain from LAB : David Wright
Thurrock CON gain from LAB : Andrew Mackinlay
Tooting CON gain from LAB : Sadiq Khan
Torbay CON gain from LIB : Adrian Sanders
Truro and Falmouth CON gain from LIB : Matthew Taylor
Tynemouth CON gain from LAB : Alan Campbell
Vale of Clwyd CON gain from LAB : Chris Ruane
Vale of Glamorgan CON gain from LAB : John Smith
Wakefield CON gain from LAB : Mary Creagh
Wallasey CON gain from LAB : Angela Eagle
Walsall North CON gain from LAB : David Winnick
Walsall South CON gain from LAB : Bruce George
Warrington South CON gain from LAB : Helen Southworth
Warwick and Leamington CON gain from LAB : James Plaskitt
Warwickshire North CON gain from LAB : Mike O'Brien
Watford CON gain from LAB : Claire Ward
Waveney CON gain from LAB : Bob Blizzard
Weaver Vale CON gain from LAB : Mike Hall
Westminster North CON gain from LAB : Karen Buck
Westmorland and Lonsdale CON gain from LIB : Tim Farron
Wirral South CON gain from LAB : Ben Chapman
Wolverhampton North East CON gain from LAB : Ken Purchase
Wolverhampton South West CON gain from LAB : Robert Marris
Worcester CON gain from LAB : Michael Foster
Workington CON gain from LAB : Tony Cunningham
Worsley and Eccles South CON gain from LAB : Barbara Keeley
Wrexham CON gain from LAB : Ian Lucas
Wyre Forest CON gain from MIN : Dr Richard Taylor
Ynys Mon NAT gain from LAB : Albert Owen
York Central CON gain from LAB : Hugh Bayley
York Outer CON gain from LIB : Unknown (changed seat)

2 comments:

Dyfrig said...

Ac eithrio colli Paul Flynn yng Nghasnewydd, fe fyddai pob un o'r canlyniadau ti wedi eu rhoi mewn bold yn gwneud i mi wenu.

Cai Larsen said...

Dydi Flynn ddim at fy nant i, ond mae Nick Ainger yn foi iawn - nid bod ganddo obaith o ddal y sedd.