Wednesday, April 25, 2007

Plan 3 y Blaid Lafur

Un neu ddau o bwyntiau brysiog ynglyn a stori fawr y diwrnod:

Yn gyntaf mae beth ddigwyddodd yn gwbl rhyfeddol. Canolbwynt ymgyrch Llafur hyd yma oedd Vote Plaid, get Tory. Yn sicr, dyma unig thema etholiadol yr ymgeisydd Llafur yn yr ardal yma. Eto - os ydi stori'r BBC i'w gredu, bwriad gwirioneddol Llafur ydi dod i gytundeb a Phlaid Cymru wedi'r etholiad - rhywbeth maent wedi tyngu na fyddent yn ei wneud ers misoedd.

Mae Rhodri Morgan bellach yn gwadu hyn, ac mae Peter Hain wedi rhyddhau datganiad sydd ar yr olwg gyntaf yn gwadu'r honiad - ond o edrych yn agosach nid yw'n gwadu'r peth o gwbl.

Mae sawl eglurhad:

(1) Mae'r gohebydd a dorrodd y stori, Vaughan Roderick, yn dweud celwydd.

(2) Mae Rhodri Morgan yn dweud celwydd.

(3) Mae rhywun oddi fewn i'r Blaid Lafur yn gweithredu tu cefn i Rhodri, ac yn ol pob tebyg yn cynllwynio yn ei erbyn.

(4) Mae Rhodri yn rhyw hanner dweud y gwir hy mae yn gynnil efo'r gwirionedd.

Fe allwn ddiystyru (1) cyn gwneud dim byd arall. Mae'n gwbl sicr y byddai'n rhaid i Vaughan brofi tu hwnt i pob amheuaeth i reolwyr y Bib bod y stori'n wir, neu ni fyddai wedi ei rhyddhau gan y Bib. Petai Vaughan yn cael ei ddal yn dweud celwydd, byddai yn sefyll yng nghiw dol Cowbridge Road yn fuan yr wythnos nesaf.

Fe allwn hefyd anghofio (3). Efallai bod gan Rhodri elynion oddi mewn i'w blaid - a rhai sydd yn gogwyddo tuag at Plaid Cymru ar hynny - ond mae'r wybodaeth mor ffrwydrol yng nghyd destun yr etholiad arbennig yma, fel ei bod yn anhebygol y byddant yn darnio eu hymgyrch eu hunain er mwyn niweidio Rhodri - yn sicr yng nghanol etholiad.

Mae (2) yn bosibl. Bydd gwleidyddion yn dweud celwydd yn aml.

Ond (4) yw'r mwyaf tebygol. Mae'n debyg gen i bod Llafur wedi bod yn edrych ar eu data canfasio, ac wedi dod i'r casgliad na allant reoli ar eu pen eu hunain, a'i bod yn fwy na phosibl na fyddant yn gallu ffurfio llywodraeth efo'r Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol chwaith. Mae trafodaeth fewnol anffurfiol wedi mynd rhagddi, ac mae plan C wedi ei ffurfio - llywodraeth Lafur yn cael ei chefnogi o'r tu allan gan y Blaid. Dydi Rhodri heb arwain hyn, ond mae'n ymwybodol o'r deillianau. Mae rhywun wedi penderfynu paratoi'r ffordd trwy siarad gyda Vaughan, ond nid yw Rhodri wedi rhoi caniatad iddynt wneud hynny.

Beth bynnag Vaughan, da iawn chdi - hwyrach bod y bennod bach hon am wneud mwy o les i Walia nag a lwyddaist i'w wneud yn dy orffennol pell mwy, ah hem, chwyldroadol.

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