Wele'r gyflafan o aelodau seneddol Albanaidd sy'n debygol o ddigwydd os ydi camlyniad etholiad San Steffan 2015 yn adlewyrchu is setiau YouGov ar hyn o bryd. Mae yna bolau eraill sy'n awgrymu bod cefnogaeth yr SNP yn uwch nag a awgrymir gan YouGov. Tabl wedi ei ddwyn oddi yma
Lab Seats | Con Seats | Seat | MP at 2010 | Electorate | Turn out % | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | NAT % | MIN % | OTH % | 2010 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 17 | Glasgow North East | Willie Bain | 59,859 | 49.13 | 5.06 | 56.92 | 0.00 | 31.04 | 2.71 | 4.27 | LAB | LAB |
2 | 16 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Tom Clarke | 70,067 | 59.42 | 7.68 | 55.17 | 0.00 | 34.54 | 0.00 | 2.61 | LAB | LAB |
3 | 15 | Glasgow East | Margaret Curran | 61,516 | 52.29 | 4.28 | 50.12 | 0.00 | 39.28 | 2.10 | 4.20 | LAB | LAB |
4 | 14 | Glasgow South West | Ian Davidson | 58,182 | 54.62 | 6.22 | 51.07 | 0.00 | 34.46 | 0.00 | 8.25 | LAB | LAB |
5 | 13 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Gordon Brown | 73,665 | 62.18 | 8.81 | 53.11 | 0.00 | 32.80 | 0.00 | 5.27 | LAB | LAB |
6 | 12 | Glenrothes | Lindsay Roy | 67,893 | 59.65 | 6.84 | 50.91 | 0.00 | 38.70 | 0.00 | 3.55 | LAB | LAB |
7 | 11 | Dunbartonshire West | Gemma Doyle | 66,085 | 63.96 | 7.27 | 49.86 | 0.00 | 37.49 | 0.00 | 5.37 | LAB | LAB |
8 | 10 | Motherwell and Wishaw | Frank Roy | 66,918 | 58.46 | 8.87 | 49.69 | 0.00 | 37.10 | 0.00 | 4.35 | LAB | LAB |
9 | 9 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Tom Greatrex | 76,408 | 61.49 | 9.16 | 49.38 | 0.00 | 36.95 | 0.00 | 4.51 | LAB | LAB |
10 | 8 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Douglas Alexander | 61,197 | 65.36 | 9.43 | 48.18 | 0.00 | 36.79 | 0.00 | 5.60 | LAB | LAB |
11 | 7 | Airdrie and Shotts | Pamela Nash | 62,364 | 57.48 | 8.29 | 46.73 | 0.00 | 40.95 | 0.00 | 4.04 | LAB | LAB |
12 | 6 | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Gregg McClymont | 64,037 | 64.26 | 7.85 | 45.80 | 0.00 | 42.45 | 0.00 | 3.90 | LAB | LAB |
12 | 5 | Glasgow Central | Anas Sarwar | 60,062 | 50.91 | 6.69 | 40.59 | 0.00 | 42.08 | 2.62 | 8.02 | LAB | NAT |
13 | 5 | Glasgow North West | John Robertson | 60,968 | 58.36 | 9.42 | 42.62 | 0.00 | 39.44 | 0.00 | 8.51 | LAB | LAB |
14 | 4 | Inverclyde | David Cairns | 59,209 | 63.36 | 11.38 | 44.54 | 0.00 | 39.67 | 0.00 | 4.42 | LAB | LAB |
14 | 3 | Glasgow South | Tom Harris | 65,029 | 61.66 | 10.86 | 40.29 | 0.00 | 40.93 | 0.00 | 7.92 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 3 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | James Sheridan | 63,704 | 68.61 | 13.84 | 42.60 | 0.00 | 38.85 | 0.00 | 4.71 | LAB | LAB |
15 | 2 | Dunfermline and West Fife | Thomas Docherty | 73,769 | 66.35 | 6.40 | 34.82 | 9.12 | 43.52 | 0.00 | 6.14 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Dundee West | James McGovern | 63,013 | 58.92 | 8.84 | 37.04 | 0.00 | 49.18 | 0.00 | 4.94 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Michael McCann | 76,534 | 66.57 | 12.31 | 40.08 | 0.00 | 42.23 | 0.00 | 5.38 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Cathy Jamieson | 74,131 | 62.80 | 13.43 | 41.11 | 0.00 | 42.95 | 0.00 | 2.51 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Linlithgow and East Falkirk | Michael Connarty | 80,907 | 63.59 | 11.33 | 38.40 | 0.00 | 47.09 | 0.00 | 3.19 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Livingston | Graeme Morrice | 75,924 | 63.10 | 10.21 | 37.03 | 0.00 | 46.05 | 0.00 | 6.71 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Glasgow North | Ann McKechin | 51,416 | 57.59 | 6.69 | 33.08 | 6.86 | 43.54 | 0.00 | 9.83 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Midlothian | David Hamilton | 61,387 | 63.93 | 11.26 | 35.59 | 0.00 | 46.04 | 0.00 | 7.11 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Lanark and Hamilton East | Jimmy Hood | 74,773 | 62.26 | 14.22 | 38.53 | 0.00 | 41.47 | 0.00 | 5.78 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Falkirk | Eric Joyce | 81,869 | 62.02 | 10.64 | 34.28 | 0.00 | 49.69 | 0.00 | 5.39 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Edinburgh East | Sheila Gilmore | 60,941 | 65.42 | 10.36 | 32.00 | 0.00 | 47.80 | 5.10 | 4.72 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Aberdeen North | Frank Doran | 64,808 | 58.17 | 11.73 | 32.99 | 0.00 | 48.95 | 0.00 | 6.33 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Katy Clark | 74,953 | 61.53 | 14.83 | 35.97 | 0.00 | 45.36 | 0.00 | 3.83 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Angus MacNeil | 22,266 | 66.10 | 4.17 | 21.45 | 0.00 | 62.34 | 9.59 | 2.45 | NAT | NAT |
15 | 2 | Ayrshire Central | Brian Donohoe | 68,352 | 64.25 | 19.33 | 36.28 | 0.00 | 40.30 | 0.00 | 4.09 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | East Lothian | Fiona O'Donnell | 73,438 | 66.94 | 18.63 | 33.16 | 0.00 | 41.58 | 0.00 | 6.63 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Mark Lazarowicz | 69,204 | 68.43 | 14.17 | 26.03 | 8.36 | 42.48 | 2.24 | 6.72 | LAB | NAT |
15 | 2 | Ayr Carrick and Cumnock | Sandra Osborne | 73,320 | 62.59 | 24.50 | 35.71 | 0.00 | 37.00 | 0.00 | 2.79 | LAB | NAT |
16 | 2 | Renfrewshire East | Jim Murphy | 66,249 | 77.26 | 29.38 | 39.35 | 0.00 | 27.76 | 0.00 | 3.51 | LAB | LAB |
16 | 1 | Edinburgh South West | Alistair Darling | 66,359 | 68.51 | 23.22 | 31.41 | 0.00 | 38.74 | 0.00 | 6.64 | LAB | NAT |
16 | 1 | Dunbartonshire East | Jo Swinson | 63,795 | 75.16 | 14.69 | 22.71 | 11.30 | 45.07 | 0.00 | 6.22 | LIB | NAT |
16 | 1 | Dundee East | Stewart Hosie | 65,471 | 61.96 | 14.44 | 21.92 | 0.00 | 57.69 | 0.00 | 5.95 | NAT | NAT |
16 | 1 | Stirling | Anne McGuire | 66,080 | 70.89 | 22.99 | 30.33 | 0.00 | 40.79 | 0.00 | 5.90 | LAB | NAT |
16 | 1 | Ochil and South Perthshire | Gordon Banks | 75,115 | 67.19 | 19.45 | 26.48 | 0.00 | 48.43 | 0.00 | 5.64 | LAB | NAT |
16 | 1 | Aberdeen South | Anne Begg | 64,031 | 67.21 | 19.68 | 25.11 | 5.07 | 43.04 | 0.00 | 7.10 | LAB | NAT |
17 | 1 | Dumfries and Galloway | Russell Brown | 74,581 | 69.95 | 30.59 | 34.48 | 0.00 | 30.87 | 0.00 | 4.07 | LAB | LAB |
17 | 0 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 59,354 | 73.80 | 20.54 | 23.31 | 8.47 | 40.78 | 0.00 | 6.89 | LAB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross | John Thurso | 47,257 | 60.88 | 12.34 | 13.19 | 12.93 | 54.53 | 0.00 | 7.02 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey | Danny Alexander | 72,528 | 64.92 | 12.64 | 10.67 | 12.53 | 53.83 | 0.00 | 10.33 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Ross Skye and Lochaber | Charles Kennedy | 51,836 | 67.21 | 11.59 | 6.48 | 19.73 | 51.86 | 0.00 | 10.34 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 33,085 | 58.47 | 9.96 | 4.57 | 25.38 | 48.23 | 0.00 | 11.87 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Edinburgh West | Michael Crockart | 65,161 | 71.28 | 22.14 | 16.31 | 9.63 | 46.95 | 0.00 | 4.98 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Gordon | Malcolm Bruce | 73,420 | 66.43 | 17.71 | 8.69 | 9.69 | 55.96 | 0.00 | 7.95 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Argyll and Bute | Alan Reid | 67,165 | 67.31 | 22.99 | 11.30 | 7.02 | 51.24 | 0.00 | 7.45 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Fife North East | Sir Menzies Campbell | 62,969 | 63.62 | 20.71 | 7.35 | 14.71 | 49.45 | 0.00 | 7.77 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Moray | Angus Robertson | 65,925 | 62.20 | 25.02 | 7.32 | 0.00 | 61.76 | 0.00 | 5.90 | NAT | NAT |
17 | 0 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 66,627 | 68.88 | 37.00 | 17.47 | 0.00 | 38.88 | 0.00 | 6.64 | CON | NAT |
17 | 0 | Perth and North Perthshire | Peter Wishart | 72,141 | 66.91 | 29.50 | 7.04 | 0.00 | 59.44 | 0.00 | 4.03 | NAT | NAT |
17 | 0 | Angus | Michael Weir | 62,863 | 60.39 | 29.88 | 7.38 | 0.00 | 58.44 | 0.00 | 4.30 | NAT | NAT |
17 | 0 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Sir Robert Smith | 66,110 | 68.36 | 29.23 | 5.84 | 11.13 | 47.15 | 0.00 | 6.65 | LIB | NAT |
17 | 0 | Banff and Buchan | Eilidh Whiteford | 64,300 | 59.82 | 29.75 | 6.00 | 0.00 | 59.01 | 0.00 | 5.24 | NAT | NAT |
17 | 0 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Michael Moore | 73,826 | 66.39 | 32.74 | 4.38 | 15.33 | 41.33 | 0.00 | 6.23 | LIB | NAT |
1 comment:
Ymddengys na all Llafur ennill yr etholiad: y Genedlaetholwyr yn unig all ei golli.
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