Monday, November 12, 2012

Cyfundrefn etholiadol Cymru

Mae penderfyniad dewr Leanne Wood i sefyll mewn etholaeth yn hytrach nag ar restr rhanbarthol yn tynnu sylw unwaith eto at y drefn bisar a geir yng Nghymru o ethol traean o aelodau'r Cynulliad.  Mae'r drefn ranbarthol yn aneffeithiol am y rhesymau canlynol:

  • Mae'n gwobreuo methiant.  Y salaf mae plaid yn ei wneud yn yr etholaethau, y gorau maent yn debygol o'i wneud yn y rhanbarthau.
  • Mae'n lleihau gallu etholwyr i ddewis pa unigolyn sy'n eu cynrychioli.
  • Mae'n grymuso pleidiau gwleidyddol ar draul etholwyr - peiriannau gwleidyddol yn hytrach nag etholwyr sy'n dewis cynrychiolwyr etholedig.
  • Mae'n torri'r cysylltiad rhwng cynrychiolwyr etholedig ac etholaethau unigol.

fantais y gyfundrefn ydi ei bod yn osgoi'r risg bod pleidiau yn ennill grym efo lleiafrif o'r pleidleisiau.  Roedd gan Llafur 60% o'r seddi uniongyrchol gyda thraean yn unig o'r pleidleisiau yng Nghynulliad 2007 - 2011.

Yr ateb ydi cyfundrefn STV - cyfundrefn sy'n osgoi yr holl broblemau 'dwi wedi eu rhestru, a sydd hefyd yn gyfrannol.   STV ydi polisi swyddogol y Blaid gyda llaw.

37 comments:

Dewi Harries said...

Pa etholaeth?

menaiblog said...

Pwy a wyr?

Dylan said...

Anfantais arall yw bod gennym, i bob pwrpas, ddau ddosbarth o wleidyddion etholedig. Oherwydd natur y system, mae yna agwedd bod gan aelodau rhanbarthol lai o hygrededd. Mae hyn yn anghynaliadwy, yn enwedig gan ein bod yn sôn am draean cyfan ohonynt.

Rhondda ydi'r dewis amlwg i Leanne, ond byddai curo Leighton yn dipyn o dasg. Ond mae'r Blaid wedi ennill yno o'r blaen, felly pam lai?

Hefyd: Adam Price i gymryd lle Leanne ar y rhestr?

menaiblog said...

Mae gen ti Caerffili sydd ddim rhy bell, & Cwm Cynon sy'n llai enilladwy.

Dylan said...

Castell Nedd yn un posibl hefyd.

menaiblog said...

Ydi, mi fyddai Castell Nedd yn bosibl - a Llanelli wrth gwrs.

Anonymous said...

Sa dda gen i sa hi'n sefyll yma (Dwyfor Meirionnydd)

menaiblog said...

Mi gei di 100/1 ar honna.

Dewi Harries said...

Dwyfor Meirionnydd - pam lai?

HC said...

O ran diddordeb, oes modd gweld sut fuasai map gwleidyddol Cymru'n edrych yn fras gyda STV ?

menaiblog said...

Wel na, gydag STV ceir mwy nag un aelod i pob ward fel rheol. 3 i 5 yn achos De Iwerddon, 6 yn achos y Gogledd. Mewn etholaeth 4 aelod byddet angen 20% mewn pleidleisiau cyntaf + rhai eraill i gael un aelod.

Anonymous said...

Byddai iddi sefyll yn y Gogledd prin yn gwneud synnwyr os mae'r holl strategaeth ydy ymestyn apel y Blaid i ardaloedd newydd

menaiblog said...

Mi fedri di fod reit siwr mai yn y De y bydd yn sefyll.

Anonymous said...

Tywyn bron a bod yn y de

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Anonymous said...

Cam dewr ar ran Leanne ond cam gwag. Methu gweld hi'n ennill sedd. Gellith hi ddim sefyll yn y rhondda - mae LA yn rhy gryf (ac rwy'n ei barchu am yr hyn mae wedi gwneud dros yr iaith ac addysg Gymraeg). Mae'n edrych yn wan felly ei bod hi'n dewis sefyll mewn sedd arall.

Pam cymryd y risg yma? Doedd dim angen. Doedd neb yn dweud wrthi am wneud ac mae lot o sens mewn cael arweinydd mewn sedd saff iawn fel top y rhestr. Fydde neb yn garafun hynny o ran unrhyw blaid.


P.

BoiCymraeg said...

Oni bai am Lanelli dwi'n methu gweld Leanne Wood (nag unrhywun arall) yn ennill unrhyw sedd nad ydy'r Blaid yn dal yn barod. Methu peidio a meddwl bod hyn yn suicide etholiadol ar ei ran hi.

Pam nad oedd mwy o wrthwynebiad i'r newid rheolau fel nad oedd pobl yn cael sefyll mewn etholaeth AC ar y restr, fel maen nhw'n gwneud yn yr Alban? Mae'n gyfundrefn sy'n rhoi mantais i'r Blaid Lafur gan nad oes angen iddyn nhw hidio am y seddi rhestr (oni bai am yn y canolbarth).

Efrogwr said...

Dwi'n cytuno bod y Rhondda yn dalcen caled a bod Leighton o blith y gorau o ACau ond, nawr bod Leanne wedi gwneud ei datganiad byddai methu â sefyll yno (a hithau yn dod o'r etholaeth ac wedi sefyll yno cymaint o weithiau or' blaen) yn edrych fel diffyg hyder bod y Blaid yn gallu torri trwodd fel yn 1999 (heb son am wneud yn well na '99, sef yr amcan).

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